BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 1A Class Rank: 105 Conference: (0-21) Overall: (0-22) Overall Strength =   29.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/16/2012 Home    L *  34.82  23  34   1A  67 ( 5-18) Sigourney               3.37    -14.37                      
  2 11/20/2012 Away    L *  30.84  33  41   1A  94 ( 4-18) Victor HLV             -0.61     -7.39                      
  3 11/27/2012 Home    L *  34.92   4  45   2A  20 (21- 2) North Mahaska           3.47 *  -44.47                      
  4 11/30/2012 Home    L *  31.97  37  70   1A  27 (17- 8) Brooklyn BGM            0.52 *  -33.52                      
  5 12/07/2012 Away    L *  33.44  28  32 1 1A  84 ( 7-18) Montezuma               1.99     -5.99                      
  6 12/10/2012 Home    L *  22.42  18  48   1A  49 (13-11) English Valleys        -9.03    -20.97                      
  7 12/11/2012 Home    L *  33.67  34  66   2A  42 (15- 7) Marengo Iowa Valley     2.22 *  -34.22                      
  8 12/14/2012 Home    L *  20.63  17  56   1A  26 (15- 9) Keota                 -10.82 *  -28.18                      
  9 12/18/2012 Away    L *  45.14  27  43   1A  25 (15- 7) Belle Plaine           13.69 *  -29.69                      
 10 12/21/2012 Home    L *  28.73  22  56   1A  23 (15- 8) Lynnville-Sully        -2.72 *  -31.28                      
 11 01/04/2013 Home    L *  32.04  31  35   1A  94 ( 4-18) Victor HLV              0.58     -4.58                      
 12 01/07/2013 Away    L *  44.23  36  47   1A  49 (13-11) English Valleys        12.78    -23.78                      
 13 01/08/2013 Away    L *  28.73  11  61   2A  20 (21- 2) North Mahaska          -2.73 *  -47.27                      
 14 01/11/2013 Away    L *  25.78  26  68   1A  27 (17- 8) Brooklyn BGM           -5.68 *  -36.32                      
 15 01/15/2013 Away    L *  25.63  22  45   1A  67 ( 5-18) Sigourney              -5.82    -17.18                      
 16 01/22/2013 Home    L *  19.64  31  46   1A  84 ( 7-18) Montezuma             -11.82     -3.18                      
 17 01/25/2013 Away    L *  36.48  23  55   2A  42 (15- 7) Marengo Iowa Valley     5.03 *  -37.03                      
 18 01/28/2013 Away    L    29.09  32  61   1A  38 (21- 4) Bussey Twin Cedars     -2.37 *  -26.63                      
 19 01/29/2013 Away    L *  27.44  19  54   1A  26 (15- 9) Keota                  -4.02 *  -30.98                      
 20 02/01/2013 Home    L *  48.34  36  46   1A  25 (15- 7) Belle Plaine           16.89 *  -26.89                      
 21 02/05/2013 Away    L *  32.54  15  48   1A  23 (15- 8) Lynnville-Sully         1.09 *  -34.09                      
 22 02/07/2013 Away    L *  25.44  28  40   1A  84 ( 7-18) Montezuma              -6.01     -5.99                      
      Averages              31.45  25.1 49.9

Best game:   48.34 = 10 point loss to Belle Plaine
Worst game:  19.64 = 15 point loss to Montezuma
Team stdev:   7.47